China strengthens lead in electromobility : Page 2 of 2

January 24, 2017 //By Christoph Hammerschmidt
China strengthens lead in electromobility
When it comes to e-cars, China is the undisputed world leader. And it seems evident that the Middle Kingdom will keep the pole position for the foreseeable future and beyond. A study from the Center of Automotive Management (CAM) explains why China is so much stronger than Europe’s and North America’s carmakers.

In Europe, Norway continued in its special role; sales of electric vehicles rose 38% to 45.000 units. Also in the United Kingdom, demand for electric cars climbed above average – 37.000 units sold, 29% more than in 2015. France achieved a unit growth of 28%. A characteristic of France is that in this country BEVs account for 67% of all electric vehicles; only 33% are PHEVs.


Sales trends for electric vehicles (BEV + PHEV)
in selected markets. Source: CAM

Germany had a sobering balance sheet. Despite an incentive bonus by the German government, sales grew by a meagre 7% to just 25.154 electric vehicles. And this small growth was caused exclusively by the demand for hybrids; BEV sales even saw a decline of 7.7%.

 

CAM expects moderate sales growth for electromobility in the most important markets for the two to three years ahead. By 2020 however, the market watchers expect the market dynamics to take off, triggered by the massive development efforts on the part of the OEMs and the regulatory environment in some major markets that can be expected to become effective. These factors will drive a massive change in the area of the power train technologies over the 10 to 15 years to come. “2016 marks the mental ‘tipping point’ for the break-through of electromobility”, explains study author Stefan Bratzel. “An amalgam of exhaust gas scandal, national and local environmental goals plus electromobility-friendly legal initiatives, in particular in China, have pulled out all the stops to a dynamic that will massively affect the strategies of the car manufacturers.” 

 

The CAM market scientists took a scenario as a basis in which conventional powertrains with internal combustion engines will start to become increasingly expensive because of increasingly tighter environmental rules. At the same time, falling battery prices will contribute to make electric vehicles more affordable and technological innovations in particular in the areas of charging time and driving range will increase customer value. A precondition will be a charging grid with a much higher density compared to today.

More information on CAM: https://www.auto-institute.com/

 

 


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